Published   Rethink TV Forecasts

Globalization lifts TV sports rights past $85 billion future

Sports Rights Forecast to 2025

The rise of streaming is bringing major sporting events to a global audience and pushing up media rights revenues. This will drive media sport rights revenues up 75% over the 7 years period from 2018 till 2025 from $48.6 billion to $85.1 billion.

Association football will increase its already dominant share of that pie from 25.1% ($12.8 billion) in 2018 to 37.4% ($31.9 billion), primarily through increased viewership of Europe’s top leagues in other regions, especially Asia Pacific, including China, and North America. Other sports will also benefit from the fan base expansion generated by globalization and greater streaming distribution, notably basketball.

These are among the primary conclusions of the latest report from Rethink TV,  the specialist video forecasting arm of Rethink Technology Research, called Globalization lifts TV sports rights past $85 billion future. Sports Rights Forecast to 2025. A strong subtext of the report is that direct to consumer services are creeping up on the sports rights industry,  stealthily with deadly intent for broadcasters. Even technology giants such as Amazon are now disrupting the traditional field of sporting rights will themselves have to adapt to the growing reality of D2C if they are to have a future as major players in sports video distribution.

Television itself brought the first wave of disruption for sports over 50 years ago, followed around 25 years ago by subscription pay TV, bringing unparalleled riches and huge growth in exposure beyond traditional fan bases. The maturation of streaming is now bringing another major gear shift, both by intensifying competition for rights and changing the viewing experience, with greater levels of personalization and interactivity, as well as innovations in presentation with proliferation of ancillary content.

Availability of audience data linked to advanced analytics has created the potential for making changes in the sports themselves, considering fans behavior during viewing, as has occurred in the case of basketball in the USA.

Streaming has also stimulated piracy to the extent that content protection has become a factor in the rights auctions alongside quality of viewing experience, so that contracts no longer go automatically to the highest bidder. There is also growing appreciation that sports rights are part of a bigger picture that includes fan participation and the other sources of sports monetization for the leagues or ultimate rights owners. The partnership between Discovery and PGA Golf is an example of connecting premium rights with fan participation.

The report traces revenue changes from media rights for major sports and their leagues in the principal geographies of Europe, North America, China, Rest of Asia Pacific and Rest of World, drilling down into differences by region and sport. We pick out the top few sports and individual leagues in each region and track their progress over the next six years.

Who should read this report and what should they get out of it?

This report is critical to anyone who is contemplating making a bid for sports rights at any point in the future, and anyone who is set to provide such a broadcaster or Pay TV operator with technology support. This is at the C-Suite level of executives, strategy advisers, and their support teams.

On the one hand having a model of how each operator will extract revenue from sports rights is fundamental to bidding, but on the other, knowing how high the next round of bidding is likely to go, and the expectation of the sports right holders, needs to go hand in hand with revenue plans.

Some broadcasters and Pay TV players will find they are in better positions to obtain sports right than they initially realized, as will streaming players who are ready to take OTT video streams of sports directly to consumers.

This report will;

· Give you key sports rights numbers to drop directly into your spreadsheets for planning

· Give you confidence on whether or not future bids are feasible for a particular region or country

· Help you advise partners on their likely success in future bids

Companies mentioned in this report:

Amazon, Apple, AT&T, BeIN Sports, BT, Bundesliga, Campeonato Brasileiro, CCTV, Comcast, CBS, Chinese Super League, Discovery, Disney, Econet, EPL, ESPN, Facebook, FIFA, Formula 1, Fox, Google, IPL, Kwesé TV, La Liga, Ligue 1, MLB, MLS, Multichoice, NBA, NBC, Nippon Professional Baseball, NFL, NHL, PGA Golf, PPTV, Serie A, Sky, Star India, Tencent, UEFA, WeChat

For more information contact:

Natalia Szczepanek (Client Relations and Marketing Manager): [email protected]

Download Executive Summary:

Download a copy of the executive summary

Annual subscription to Rethink TV:

1-5 User License $3,800

Corporate License $5,100

Subscribing to Rethink TV for the same price, includes 11 more forecasts a year on pay TV technologies.

Contents 2

Graphs and Tables 3

Introduction 4

Geographical Perspective 7

Europe 7

North America 9

China 13

Rest of Asia Pacific 16

Rest of World 19

Global Sports Rights Trends 21

Methodology 25

Conclusions 26

Rethink TV: Forecasting disruption in video 27

Contacts 28

About Rethink Technology Research 29

World Top 7 sports 2018 5

World Top 7 sports 2025 6

World Top 15 Leagues 6

World Top 5 leagues 2018 7

Europe Next 5 Sports After Soccer 2018-2025 8

Europe top 6 leagues revenue 2018 9

North America Top 5 2018-2025 9

North America Top 5 2018 10

North America Big 3 + NHL & CL Revenues 2018 10

China Top 5 Leagues Revenue 2018 14

China Top 5 Leagues Revenue 2025 14

China Top 5 2018-2025 15

China Top 5 2025 15

AsiaPac Top 5 2018-2025 16

AsiaPac Top 5 2025 17

AsiaPac (ex China) Top 6 Leagues Revenues 2018 18

AsiaPac Top 6 Leagues Revenue 2025 18

Rest of World top 8 20

Rest of World Top 5 20